Kyun Gold Lagatar Bhad Raha Hai?
Kyun Gold Lagatar Bhad Raha Hai?
Geo-political tensions ke wajah se, aur Middle east mai Iran aur Israel ke potential war ke darr se, Gold ke rate lagatar aasmaan chu rahe hain. Rising US dollar rates ke saath saath gold aur silver prices bhi badh rahe hain….US dollar price aaj 5-month high par hai, aur US dollar index 106 level ke upar..
Commodity market experts ka kehna hai ki, gold rate uptrend mai hai kyunki Iran-Israel war ke fear ne fuel ka demand badha dia hai…Aakhir US dollar rates bhi toh badh rahein hain. Experts keh rahe hain ki gold rate ka support ab ₹72,300 se ₹72,270 levels tak hai, aur MCX gold rate hai, ₹72,300 to ₹73,300 per 10 gm. Unhone yeh bhi bataya ki,
- gold rate small range mai hai $2,380 se $2,420 wahin
- broader range mai hai, $2,350 to $2m450 per ounce
Chaliye dekhte hain sabhi cheezon ko detail mai
Kyun badh raha hai lagatar gold?
Israel-Iran war fear
Aksar jab conflict ya war ka mahual banta hai toh outcome kya hoga, who unknown hota hai…Aur issi unknown outcome ke darr ke chakar mai gold prices badh rahe hain…Aur aise samay mai, gold ko hamesha se hi ek safe haven mana jaata hai..phir chahe hedging ke liye ho, ya depreciating currencies ke liye – Gold ko aise samay mai popular investment mana jaata hai.
Iske alawa, US Dollar aur US Treasuries se compare kia jaye toh jab yeh girte hain, tab gold badhta hai. Lekin iss bar ulta ho raha hai, dono hi badh rahe hain.Aur yeh 6th consecutive week hai, jahan yeh record high ke nazdeek hi close kar raha hai. Gold up jaa raha hai, kyunki desh-videsh ke central banks se rate cuts expected hai…Aur phir gold naa sirf oversold tha, balki under-owned bhi tha.
US Fed rate, dollar price in focus
Yehi reason hai ki gold aur silver investors ko US Fed news ke baare mai aur unki aane waale meeting ki jaankari rakhni chahiye. Jab rate reduction ki baat aayi toh Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne laha ki yahan ab ki zaroorat hai, kyunki, pehla move ab 2025 se pehle hona mushkil hai…
New York Fed President John Williams ne bhi kaha hai ki, waise toh agla rate hike unka base case nhi hai, lekin inflationary risks ko dekha jaye toh, possible hai.
Iske alawa Iran ne jo drone attacks kia Israel par, aur Israel ne bhi, iske baad, market mai risk aversion ka environment chahya hua hai. Gold prices ab ₹72,300 to ₹73,300 per 10 gm ke range mai trade kar rahein hain. Ab jab tak yeh support zone of ₹72,300 to ₹72,270 per 10 gm hai, gold ka outlook positive hi rahega.
Aur agar iss support zone toda, toh phir kuch profit booking hoga – kyunki phir as prices slightly overstretched ho jayenge, especially after the steep run-up seen in the last three months.
International markets mai, gold prices around $2,350 per ounce mark par apna support zone par hain, aur unka key resistance level hai – $2,450 per ounce.
